Cross-posted from SIAI blog.
Will AGI emerge from a preexisting narrow AI field, incrementally improving?
In my opinion, the answer is likely no, but people working in narrow AI like to tell me that their work will eventually give rise to the Friendly AI I want to see.
Should the idea of AGI emerging from narrow AI be dismissed outright? Probably not. Let's say AGI does indeed emerge from AI. If so, what are possible routes?
- Entertainment robots, like the upcoming Zeno
- Combat robots, like SWORDS
- Systems used in mathematical finance
- Agents in virtual worlds, like Novamente's latest effort
Can you think of any others? Different paths have different advantages from both a FAI and an AGI perspective. Some of these "narrow" applications, such as Novamente's, are in fact built on an AGI-oriented architecture. Could the first AGI blindside us, by superficially appearing like narrow AI?