Monophyletic Futurist Lexicons Tuesday, May 6 2008
futurism 2:58 am
In modern cladistics, there is a strong pressure to only classify organisms in monophyletic groups — that is, groups that contain all descendants of a common ancestor and nothing else. This is quite reasonable from a specialist’s point of view, as the alternative is quite confusing. Polyphyletic terms like “worm”, “mesozoa”, and “plankton” refer to broad and arbitrary groupings of unrelated organisms, and may be acceptable for casual use, but when you really care about classifying organisms in a consistent way, these terms are useless, and are regularly discarded.
I apply this same principle in my thinking about science, technology, and futurism. Futurist dialogue is rife with ‘polyphyletic’ terms like “Singularity”, “nanotechnology”, and “nuclear”. Some of these terms may have been coined with precise definitions that have since been lost in the cacophony of interested, well-meaning amateurs that are trying to appear informed, or worse, PR spinners that have hijacked words like “nanotechnology” intentionally.
When engaging in constructive dialog on futurist topics, it’s important to know what the hell you’re talking about. Unfortunately, there is a tradeoff for specificity — greater complexity of terms, as well as restricted meanings that prevent rhetorical hand-waving useful for drawing people in without confusing them. Personally, I prefer a layered approach — incrementally more specific terminology for specific purposes. As another downside, groups with too much esoteric language frustrate those without the vocabulary, and inspire calls of “cult!” or “alienated from reality”.
What particularly disappointed me recently in this area is the definition of “Singularity” in Ray Kurzweil’s 2005 book, The Singularity is Near. His definition consists of several pages filled with dozens of bullet points, ranging from “nanotechnology will enable the design of nanobots” to “Ultimately the entire universe will become saturated with our intelligence. This is the destiny of the universe.” (Not only is the latter phrase an addition to the confusion around the term, it implies an inevitability that ignores global catastrophic risk.) Please, Mr. Kurzweil, be more specific, and summarize terms in a few sentences at the most.
Sometimes, it’s beneficial for someone who wants to change the definition of a term to simply use it in the intended context, and hope it catches on. Even I am guilty of this. For instance, I use the word “cybernetics” to refer to cyborg technology, as we see it used in fiction, especially anime, instead of using Norbert Wiener’s frustratingly broad traditional definition. This causes conflict with some of my older colleagues, who respect Wiener’s definition, but among the younger crowd, it is a simple fact that “cybernetics” is strongly associated with cyborgs. In this respect, I am simply riding on a pre-existing wave.
Be careful about the meanings of words. Some people might get into an argument that has nothing to do with the substance at hand, but merely disagreements over the meaning of words. To avoid this, we must take the time to define our terms precisely, and not get flustered when we find that our own intuitive definition of the term is overly broad and nonspecific.

May 6th, 2008 at 12:10 pm
Great. How is “nuclear” polyphyletic?
May 6th, 2008 at 12:13 pm
It’s less polyphyletic than the others, but solar is a subset of nuclear, for instance. Also, people frequently confuse the branches of nuclear — nuclear power plants, nuclear bombs, nuclear waste, nuclear fusion — with each other. Nuclear bombs dominate the interpretation of all the others, staining them. So it’s not so much polyphyletic as a category itself as its subcategories bleed and are kept insufficiently distinct in the popular imagination.
See also the IAEA link.
May 6th, 2008 at 5:40 pm
Nanotechnology is such a useless buzzword. However you can definitely impress the average person by throwing that word around.
On my blog I have a tendency sometimes for using fairly new “buzzwords” like “Neurowarfare”. These words are fairly meaningless to most people, but they sound good and pique people’s interests. I think if you start throwing around unusual words like transhumanism, utopian neuroscience, singularity, cybernetics etc. people are definitely going to pay more attention to you. They may be fairly meaningless, but a good buzzword can go a long way. If your really gutsy, you can make up your own buzzword, like this guy Zack Lynch.
http://www.neurosociety.net/
He coined the term “neurosociety”. Wow what a genius, how did he ever come up with that gem?
To make up your own word just take “neuro” or nano” or whatever else and add it to another word. Then your new made up word is as specific as you want to make it.
“Mr. Kurzweil, be more specific, and summarize terms in a few sentences at the most.”
While Kurzweil does a rube goldbergian analysis in his book “The singularity is near”, I think his overall message is clear. “Superintelligence” will overcome all mankind’s current and future problems.
May 6th, 2008 at 8:39 pm
Mr. Brain Stimulant (if that is your real name), I wouldn’t say that nanotechology is useless, but yes, coining new words can actually be useful — as long as you use them right! I must admit that I find Zack Lynch’s neuro-this, neuro-that to be quite annoying, but then again, I haven’t read his blog lately.
If Kurzweil’s message is so clear, then why didn’t he use the simple word “superintelligence” in the book? Why did you have to insert it here for him?
May 6th, 2008 at 9:19 pm
“Mr. Brain Stimulant (if that is your real name)”
Sorry, I’m not sure why that happened. It should read Mike. I didn’t do that intentionally.
“If Kurzweil’s message is so clear, then why didn’t he use the simple word “superintelligence” in the book?”
Maybe he doesn’t have that buzzword in his lexicon? Kurzweil’s book is genius, but it is also convoluted. So maybe clear isn’t quite the right term. Kurzweil lacks the ability to pick out the salient details from the not so salient. He takes 250 nutritional supplements for life extension. That’s indicative of overly complicated analysis coupled with an inability to prioritize which specific items are the most important. He could probably get the same life extension effect by taking 10 to 20 supplements. His amazing intelligence doesn’t extend to properly “weighing” which items are most important. This is why his book is convoluted and why he would have difficulty summarizing his view of the future.
May 7th, 2008 at 12:31 am
I particularly hate when people use the term “anti-aging” and are referring to a bunch of hucksters and fraudulent snake-oil salesmen, and then lope people like Aubrey de Grey in with that group!
There are vast differences in methodology, philosophy, and plausibility; which is far more important then that both claim to be “anti-aging” doctors.
Its like putting NASA in with that group who built a landing pad for when the aliens arrive.
May 12th, 2008 at 1:48 pm
I wholly agree with the blog-entry. I do not particularly detest “buzz-words”. However, they dó get on my nerves, if used to fuel some magazine-selling paranoia-hipe. “Nuclear” being one of he best examples of hijacking indeed. A Dutch proverb says:”Totaal niet gehinderd door enige kennis van zaken”(meaning:Totally unhindered by knowledge in any form or shape”)
It`s an old problem anyways. Foucault, and Wittgenstein to a lesser degree, already lamented the mis-use of terminology in, especially, science.