Intelligence Enhancement Monday, Jun 9 2008
superintelligence and transhumanism 10:25 am
What is the point of transhumanism? Part of it is to put up a notice that says “we deliberately want to work towards human enhancement, meet here if you’re interested”. That way a group can aggregate around that cause and start companies, non-profits, and think tanks to accelerate its realization.
Fortunately, billions of dollars in research funds are already being spent on technologies that are useful for human enhancement, such as regenerative medicine, gene therapy, RNA interference, genome sequencing, implants and prostheses, brain-computer interfacing, robotic exoskeletons, and more.
But explicit, self-declared “transhumanists” — a small group of roughly 10,000 people with a combined net worth under $3 billion — could never personally direct all human enhancement research (nor would we want to), but we can influence it in what we see as positive directions.
Transhumanists should be useful to humanity as a whole. I envision our role as interdisciplinary thinkers who stay up to date with as many scientific and technological developments as possible, consider trends and future directions, then offer suggestions on present-day choices in enhancement research and ethics.
In particular, long-term popular opinion of human enhancement may be determined by its first world-changing examples. Advocates of responsible enhancement have an interest in the “debut” and immediate impact of serious human enhancement.
We see nascent signs of popular response to human enhancement today, with augmented persons like Oscar Pistorius, the record-holding runner with two prosthetic legs. Pistorius is cleared to compete in the Olympics, a reversal of an earlier decision by the International Association of Athletics Federations banning the use of “any technical device that incorporates springs, wheels or any other element that provides a user with an advantage over another athlete not using such a device”.
Although Pistorius’ experience is an interesting window into the way humanity deals with augmented persons, it is my opinion, and that of many other transhumanists, that a real transhuman is a transhuman mind, and anything else is a side issue (a paraphrase of a quote by Robert Heinlein). Say you are a person so heavily enhanced with cybernetics technology that you can lift a ton, run a mile a minute, and get energy directly from the Sun. Well, alright, that’s cool, but it will impact things that other people really care about, like your ability to interact with them, have creative insights, solve problems, or make people laugh? Not much.
To me personally, “transhumanism” is mainly about humanity’s effort to make a mind smarter than itself. It is sometimes difficult to define “intelligence”, so here I’ll define “smarter” as the ability to see things others don’t, generate valuable insights others don’t, create things others can’t, possess an expanded memory, improved ability to free associate between memories, fundamental improvements in the wetware used to formulate and process concepts, make probability assessments and updates that are mathematically sound and self-consistent, construct and manipulate more detailed mental models of other people and objects, possess hundreds of other traits we intuitively associate with intelligence, and thousands of additional traits that we haven’t discerned yet because we haven’t thought about the issue enough. As you can see, defining “intelligence” is not easy.
Obviously, enhancing or modifying a human mind is a huge challenge. Some, like the Singularity Institute and its supporters, advocate constructing a human-level artificial intelligence to trigger a feedback cascade in intelligence research. Others, like neuroscientist Anders Sandberg and economist Robin Hanson, wager that intelligence enhancement will be kickstarted by the scanning and “uploading” of human minds. The Innerspace Foundation is looking to neural prostheses, offering a reward to the first person who develops a cognitive prosthesis that expands human memory. Other approaches to intelligence enhancement are formulated and floated in numerous closed-door conversations.
Which will have a major impact first? AI, uploading, BCI, or some other approach? Because the advocates of intelligence enhancement are having trouble agreeing on which approach is best, we are not working towards this technology as quickly and smoothly as we should. Transhumanists need to agree on an approach to intelligence enhancement, and throw as much as our effort as possible behind it.
Although I personally advocate the AI approach, I encourage research into the other areas, though I am admittedly skeptical that uploading could be first. Keeping an open mind in appraising different fields of intelligence research is essential, as we don’t want to get bogged down in one approach if it starts failing.
Closely observing the way that nascent intelligence enhancement technologies are applied is helpful for considering their future impact. For instance, we see AIs being introduced to virtual worlds like SecondLife. Could these environments act as useful testing grounds for further AI development, and sandboxes to evaluate the way these AIs interact with humans, the environment, and other agents? Most certainly.
A large intelligence enhancement breakthrough could accelerate adjacent breakthroughs in other areas. Because intelligence underlies our ability to solve all problems, an improvement in that underlying capability could give us a greater return on investment than improvement of any other tool.
Another important question concerns whether enhanced intelligence will be put to beneficial ends once it is developed. If an elite group uses the technology, could they merely use it to consolidate and preserve their power? All of humanity has reason to avoid this outcome. Advance concern and the application of safeguards will be necessary, because once an elite group has the technology, it might be too late to take it away.
For one person’s estimate on timescales, see Nick Bostrom’s “How Long Until Superintelligence?”

June 9th, 2008 at 11:42 am
Why is it that as soon as something is named, even though enhancement has been going on for billions of years, it all of a sudden becomes BAD and EVIL?
At least it seems that way sometimes…
June 9th, 2008 at 1:17 pm
“Because intelligence underlies our ability to solve all problems, an improvement in that underlying capability could give us a greater return on investment than improvement of any other tool.”
I’m not sure I entirely agree with that. It certainly sounds good to us left-brain people but creativity, aka right-brain stuff, is a pretty big contributor to solving problems.
Is creativity enhancement of equal value to intelligence enhancement? Being intelligent won’t necessarily help you write a really good novel or an awesome score of music.
June 9th, 2008 at 2:03 pm
Matt Grimes Says: “Is creativity enhancement of equal value to intelligence enhancement?”
Parroting Eliezer: “and which organ of your body is responsible for your creativity? your kidney? No, your brain. “intelligence” means all forms of intelligence - anything that your brain does - creativity, social skills, image recongintion, as well as book-smart intelligence”
June 9th, 2008 at 2:06 pm
There are many different dimensions of “intelligence” that we could use to distinguish minds. Given how important the concept of “intelligence” is to you I’d think it would be profitable for you to break this concept into components and phrase your discussions more in terms of those components.
June 9th, 2008 at 2:52 pm
Unfotunately we really don’t know exactly what intelligence is at this point. General intelligence “g” is one of the most psychological variables that predicts a host of life outcomes. It seems, though, if you ask 5 different IQ researchers you’ll get 5 different responses as to what general intelligence is. Here’s a great blog on intelligence research.
http://intelligencetesting.blogspot.com/
“There are many different dimensions of “intelligence” that we could use to distinguish minds.”
There are subsets to general intelligence (visuospatial, verbal, math), however they all highly correlate with one another. So I don’t know if there is a need to invoke the idea of multiple intelligences, unless you are refferring to traits like working memory, long term memory etc.
This article on gnxp had some interesting insights on creativty.
http://www.gnxp.com/blog/2006/05/g-and-creativity.php
“In the case of creativity, there are several ideas for what these other factors are that interact synergistically with intelligence — e.g., the Big Five personality trait Openness, Eysenck’s personality trait Psychoticism, schizotypal personality, and so on.”
I’m somewhat skeptical as to how easy it will be to increase intelligence. Intelligence is related to brain size but it is also the optimization of that brain size. From an evolutionary perspective, intelligence is utilitarian. Human intelligence increased because it was necessary for our ancestors survival. Currently, though, it is questionable as to whether intelligence is really needed in todays world, with the rapid pace of technological progress making life much easier for everybody and also the outsourcing of cognitive tasks to computers. There’s no real evidence that people are getting any smarter (aside from the flynn effect, which doesn’t really appear to reflect on increase in “g”) Why should evolution waste valuable brain real estate on increasing general intelligence when it is no longer necessary? Though, I still do think increasing human intelligence through technology will be possible, it just may be harder to do than some people realize.
June 9th, 2008 at 3:28 pm
“Intelligence is related to brain size”
Really? I can see where that may be true when comparing species but as humans don’t we all have the same size brain (more or less) and some us are dumber than a box a rocks.
I like your idea about the need for intelligence might be decreasing in todays world. I had not considered that aspect but there is more than a grain of truth to it.
I’m with you though, I think it will prove extraordinarily difficult to increase intelligence by some artificial means.
June 9th, 2008 at 3:29 pm
Any enhanced intelligence will be more creative than us; that is implicit in the definition of smarter.
My only objection to the post is the idea that the entire community should get behind one approach. We are nowhere near close enough or smart enough to know which approach will ultimately get us where we want to go. The more smart people there are working in the field, and the more approaches they take, the better.
June 9th, 2008 at 3:39 pm
Anissimov: “Because the advocates of intelligence enhancement are having trouble agreeing on which approach is best, we are not working towards this technology as quickly and smoothly as we should. Transhumanists need to agree on an approach to intelligence enhancement, and throw as much as our effort as possible behind it.”
Why not hedge our bets instead? It would be a tragedy to (for example) invest all our resources in the hope of a hard-takeoff FAGI, only for this effort to fail miserably. Futurism is difficult; it’s at least not obvious that there’s one particular gadget that will save us all. More importantly, technological progress is the aggregate result of the work of thousands of engineers and scientists in different fields, all of whom have their own particular talents and interests. Rather than staking everything on one effort, the neuroscience people can work on the brain, the genetics people can work on genes, our friends at SIAI and elsewhere can work on AI …
Putting all your eggs in one basket is risky, perhaps existentially so.
June 9th, 2008 at 3:55 pm
In discussing the components, I would look at the aspects of intellectual productivity which have clear monetary value now.
- speed and quality of business model creation and execution
- high monetary value inventions or creations (patents, research papers, designs etc…)
- Creation of high value processes and systems
- Toyota manufacturing process
- google search engine
- wikipedia
- superior financial transaction selection and execution
etc…
==
These type of things and a longer list could be related to more basic functions and metrics
– better choices
– fewer mistakes (more quality)
– better concentration and maintaining high personal or group performance
etc…
==
Some existing hardware (google, wikipedia) and nootropic drugs can be assessed for their enhancing effects and what they enhance.
June 9th, 2008 at 6:29 pm
I’ll put my money on genetic enhancement (or maybe nootropics) offering the first real intelligence enhancements. I mean, we already have some other humans who are more intelligent than everyone else, so the likely first step is to get everyone to that level.
All that needs to be done for such research is to uncover correlations between certain genes or certain molecules and a resulting intelligence increase. No understanding of how the brain really works is needed, which I think would be the key bottleneck in AI research and uploading, and perhaps a problem also in BCIs.
June 9th, 2008 at 10:54 pm
That’s really a misnomer, at best; to comprehend what genetic signals introduce heightened intelligence will require not merely a full mapping of the human species, but also a full mapping of the genetic functions & interactions of every gene — DNA and RNA and mRNA alike — within the human sequence.
By contrast, Dr. Ted Berger’s approach is to reproduce the neurology itself in silicate substrate, and when combined with other research into which regions of the brain perform what function and the other research into what decodes what; and how painfully simplistic these approaches are turning out to be (when compared to genetic research or developing a theory of mind); well, it is fully safe to say that within Dr. Berger’s 20 year window we will see at least moderate augmentation of the human active memory. (which is located on the anterior surface of the prefrontal cortex no less! I.e.; no need for deep-brain implants to affect it) This would thusly allow for extended cognition if not extended recall with only one theoretical breakthrough needed: that being the interface between a truly digital medium and that of an analogue adaptive logic-gate structure (that being the brain).
But that’s my two cents.
June 10th, 2008 at 12:23 am
I tend to agree with Josh on this,
I think the best chance for human intelligence enhancement (maybe the only chance) is to concentrate on biotech. The more I read about AI, the more I’m starting to think that that approach is impossible. Many people tend to compare the human brain to a computer, but I think that is comparing apples to oranges. I’m not so sure that the human brain can be compared to a computer anyway. At least by focusing on the human brain, we are concentrating our efforts on something that we know works and has consciousness, intelligence, complex thought, etc, wheras we don’t know IF we can get these things in a computer.
I’m not trying to sound like a pessimist or a troll, I for one would be just as happy as everyone else here if AI were to become a reality. I just have my doubts that it will actually happen. With the recent onslaught that AI and artificial consciousness has taken recently in the IEEE Spectrum, this only fuels my doubts even more. IEEE Is a VERY credible source, not a bunch of frightened chickens fearing some Hollywood dystopian scenario, but real people with real knowledge on the subject.
Perhaps we should focus more on technologies that don’t need AI to implement (longevity, improved physical strength and attractiveness etc.) If we overly rely on AI to do and solve everything, we might be in for a rude awakening.
June 10th, 2008 at 5:36 am
Iconrad, we already have a full map of the human genome, and rough drafts of the proteomes and transcriptomes of many cell types. And intelligence research isn’t the only reason for getting the genomes of most people on the planet sequenced; even people who are scared of enhancement will be contributing for health care reasons. So we will have an enormous amount of data gathered for non-transhumanist reasons that can be used to find correlations with intelligence, and then just insert those correlates of intelligence, without needing to know how they work.
A brain chip not only has to reproduce a section of the brain, but it has to do with a very small chip. Need I remind you that the Blue Brain project required an entire room full of supercomputing cabinets to simulate a mere cubic millimetre of rat neocortex.
June 10th, 2008 at 8:40 am
Ephrin-A2 and ephrin-A3 help awaken dormant brain stem cells. “Sonic hedgehog” induces proliferation (and migration) of some brain cells.
Extreme study is known to reform & remodelparts of the cortex, certainly the brain remodels as children age & learn.
A technique for the diligent?
JPS
June 10th, 2008 at 8:59 am
Why did I expect that misnomer to come up?
What I said was: to comprehend what genetic signals introduce heightened intelligence will require not merely a full mapping of the human species, but also a full mapping of the genetic functions & interactions of every gene — DNA and RNA and mRNA alike — within the human sequence. There is a world of difference between having successfully mapped a few individuals and having fully mapped the entire species.
Also, please further note that we are only now beginning to comprehend the role of RNA actors within gene expression; and that absolutely no work at all has been done on discerning the mechanism by which multiple genes interact with one another. We’re only just now beginning to figure out single-gene expression and we’re also only just now beginning to comprehend the full role of RNA in gene expression.
Need I remind you of Moore’s Law? Or Dr. Ted Berger? Or Dr. Mark Tilden? The Blue Brain project attempted to brute-force an emulation and did so poorly at best.
Were one to use the artificial hardware neurons of Dr. Tilden on a silicate substrate, one could easily fit over 150 Tilden-esque artificial neurons (using currently existing technology, and I rounded *DOWN*) into the same space that one natural neuron exists within.
June 10th, 2008 at 5:06 pm
I already told you that many people will be sequencing their genome within a few years for medical purposes. It won’t be very long at all until that is a routine medical test. And we don’t need to know mechanisms, we just need to know correlations. Mechanisms would be nice, and would help, but aren’t necessary.
In making an artificial piece of brain tissue, however, one must understand how neurons (and glia) behave, which I think is a much more difficult task.
But I think we could both agree that both methods are worth pursuit, yes?
June 10th, 2008 at 6:39 pm
That’s an absolute fallacy.
1: Without mechanisms known, you’ll never get out the gate in terms of acquiring approval to perform procedures in individuals.
2: Without mechanisms known, it is not possible to establish correlations. This is precisely what my objection with regards to the variability of correlations is all about.
Ironically, that’s only if you’re going to emulate said neurons. Neuroplasticity is sufficient that we needn’t actually emulate neurons; we only need to provide for signal interaction. That is, we only need to read the spikes and reproduce signals in a meaningful way. This can be done with either “Berger” or “Tilden” style artificial neurons.
We remain decades away from this being used in a statistically significant portion of the population. It isn’t that we can’t acquire the genetic profiles; it is rather that we still don’t know how to read the sequenced genomes meaningfully. I recall to you the ‘discovery’ made with the sequencing of Craig Venter (sp?): that there is an order of magnitude greater variability in the genetic variance between humans than was predicted with the sequencing of the “entire” human genome.
With such basic and fundamental gaps in theoretical knowledge, I cannot put any faith that the state of the art of the “biological/pharmaceutical” approach is any further along today than it was fifty years ago with the introduction of Piracetam.
I won’t discount the value of performing such research, but I place an fairly high threshold of confidence (say, 75%) on the statement that cybernetic approaches are 85-95% more likely to achieve transhuman intelligence significantly earlier than is the biomedical.
June 10th, 2008 at 8:15 pm
I agree with Ian that success with the cybernetic approach is significantly more likely. Accordingly, I would recommend devoting more research monies and effort to brain-computer interfacing and neural prosthetics.
June 11th, 2008 at 1:00 am
To be fair — and I suspect you caught this, Michael — my use of the term “cybernetic” was in the “traditional” rather than “popular” sense; as in, mechanical/computational rather than purely biological. I.e.; I included AGI into that concept.
It occurred to me the other day that we wouldn’t even necessarily need a human-level AGI to accomplish greater-than-human levels of intellectual exploits, given a sufficiently high top-level AGI and a wide enough number of sufficiently broad narrow AI softwares. I’ll put more thought into that sometime when I don’t have to be up for my next work shift in four hour, though.
June 11th, 2008 at 5:41 pm
I do recall that caffeine and even methylphenidate (perhaps too early nootropics) were both used before their precise mechanisms were understood. How were they found to work then? Well, people who took coffee and Ritalin were able to concentrate better and stay more aware. They didn’t know why, they just saw the correlation. That’s how even medicines today are found - something just ends up working, and they then look to find out how.
It is likely that a rough idea of the mechanism could be known just by looking at the genes involved.
And being a neuroscience student, I find it quite difficult to believe that one could simulate the brain by only simulating neurons. Why, it was only a few months ago that it was announced that glia cells were also generating action potentials.
I’m putting my money on the molecular/genetic approach, in the near term. Until the cybernetic approach unveils its equivalent of the “Doogie mouse” (NR2B transgenic mice, with enhanced learning and memory), I shall remain sceptical of that approach.
June 12th, 2008 at 9:43 am
The list of genetic modifications that have been used on mice and never implemented on humans is longer than we have time to contemplate here.
And in replete in every single paper written on NR2B transgenic mice is the fact that just because it works on mice doesn’t mean it’ll work on humans; even if the gene operates in a similar way!
… I’m going to be a tiny bit rude here. I apologize in advance.
Who the fuck was talking about simulating anything? I certainly wasn’t. IIRC, I said something very much along these lines: “ Ironically, that’s only if you’re going to emulate said neurons. Neuroplasticity is sufficient that we needn’t actually emulate neurons; we only need to provide for signal interaction.” Learn to read, man. Learn to read.
June 12th, 2008 at 3:54 pm
Ian, why don’t you be more polite, so as to avoid starting unproductive flaming or hard feelings?
June 13th, 2008 at 12:05 am
I sometimes revert to the belief that shock value can break cognitive barriers where reasoned discourse does not. Your point is taken, though.
June 13th, 2008 at 12:08 am
Yeah, I can agree with that. Though, I slightly worry about that harsh style when applied to those who obviously have brains and can be reasoned with, like Josh.
June 13th, 2008 at 2:26 pm
Fair enough. But, then, I suspect such a technique can only be effective with someone who can be otherwise reasoned with in the first place. To be honest, what I did here was… for //me//, extremely mild, as well. (I’ve always been a bit restrained because I appreciate what you do. Even “back in the day” with where I went with Tom.)
The key part — and where I’m a bit weak — is that you can only use such a technique to ‘break the ice’; you can’t use it continuously. Shock, not browbeat.
Seeing as he hasn’t responded yet, who can say if it’s worked? Here’s to hoping.
June 18th, 2008 at 4:20 am
You got me to thinking about the possibilities of Open Source Bio-Technology. I believe that will be the key to an explosion of growth in the field, as open source computing is continuing to demonstrate on a daily basis. When we have ended this era of corporate suppression of research with money as the end goal, and remember that our bodies belong to ourselves, then will we herald the post-human.