Roko, author of Transhuman Goodness, who I just met in person for the first time at the 2009 Singularity Institute Summer Intern Program in Santa Clara, pointed me to an interesting economist, Garett Jones, assistant professor at George Mason University and colleague of Robin Hanson. His work is quite provocative:
As a macroeconomist, I investigate both long-term economic growth and short-term business cycles. My current research explores why IQ and other cognitive skills appear to matter more for nations than for individuals.
For example: A two standard deviation rise in an individual personâ€™s IQ predicts only about a 30% increase in her wage. But the same rise in a countryâ€™s average IQ score predicts a 700% increase in the average wage in that country. I want to understand why IQ appears to have such a large social multiplier.
The story is much the same for math and science scores: A personâ€™s individual score predicts little about how sheâ€™ll do in the job market, but the richest and fastest-growing countries in the world tend to do much better on math and science tests. If the IQ multiplier is even half as large as it appears to be, then health, nutrition, and education policies in developing countries should be targeted at raising the brain health of the worldâ€™s poorest citizens.
An even more important implication of my research is that low-skilled immigrants should be allowed to migrate to the worldâ€™s richest countries: Low-skilled immigrants have little or no net effect on the wages of the citizens of rich countries, but their lives massively improve when they immigrate to these countries.
In the past, Iâ€™ve worked on Capitol Hill and Iâ€™ve studied the monetary transmission mechanism. I speak on policy topics regularly via Mercatusâ€™s Capitol Hill Campus program and in other forums. Recent media include Forbes.com, Fortune.com, Wisconsin Public Radio, and CNN.com.
I’ve heard the idea before that improving IQ among the world’s poorest might be the best way to improve their lot in life, but it’s nice to see an economist primarily focused on the concept. For starters, we need to encourage the addition of iodine to salt and iron to bread in developing countries, as has been done in developed countries since WWII. According to the WHO, in 2007, nearly 2 billion individuals had insufficient iodine intake, a third being of school age. The numbers are similar for iron deficiency. Implementing these relatively cheap measures would be easy, if it weren’t for the controversy of acknowledging that IQ exists and can be improved.