Rohit Talwar’s “Top 10 Forecasts for Science and Technology in 2010″
Check out Rohit Talwar's "Top 10 forecasts for science and technology in 2010" over at Troy Media. More business futurists are getting hip to transhumanist and singularitarian ideas. Here are the 10 forecasts:
1. The Rise of Citizen Science
2. NBIC-convergence
3. Synthetic Biology
4. Personalized Medicine
5. Novel Energy Sources
6. Food Production Methods
7. 3D Printing / Personal Fabricators
8. Ambient Intelligence
9. Self Replicating Artificial Intelligence (AI)
10. The Singularity
He is forecasting that people will start talking about these things more, not that they will necessarily happen. So he isn't predicting a Singularity in 2010. #9 is sort of oddly phrased -- it would be trivial to create a self-replicating artificial intelligence. The Blaster worm was self-replicating. He seems to basically be saying "AI will be better" in a slightly awkward way, and getting the idea of the intelligence explosion (where physical self-replication is central) somewhat confused with nearer-term AI prognostications.