When Machines Outsmart Humans / Taking Intelligent Machines Seriously Tuesday, Aug 10 2010
AI and singularity 12:26 am
Two short papers from Nick Bostrom: When Machines Outsmart Humans and Taking Intelligent Machines Seriously: Reply to Critics. Here’s the abstract of the first one:
Artificial intelligence is a possibility that should not be ignored in any serious thinking about the future, and it raises many profound issues for ethics and public policy that philosophers ought to start thinking about. This article outlines the case for thinking that human-level machine intelligence might well appear within the next half century. It then explains four immediate consequences of such a development, and argues that machine intelligence would have a revolutionary impact on a wide range of the social, political, economic, commercial, technological, scientific and environmental issues that humanity will face over the coming decades.
The papers make a lot of good, and basic, points.




Think about what this means for the unemployment rate when AI starts getting used to automate everyone’s job.
Check out this book (available as a free PDF): The Lights in the Tunnel: Automation, Accelerating Technology and the Economy of the Future. (http://www.thelightsinthetunnel.com).
If there were a textbook on this issue of technological unemployment and where it will lead, this book is it.
How can he claim that Moore’s Law holds true for AI, that every 18 months AI will double in intelligence?
If processing speed doubles, does intelligence double? I would disagree with this statement. Intelligence is not defined in instructions per second. Case and point, the human brain can think at roughly the same speed as many other mammals, yet we are more intelligent.